tabacco
My RSS Feeds
What Are The chances You Will Die Within 4 Years? Take This Test For 50+ To Find Out
posted Thursday, 16 February 2006
What Are The chances
You Will Die Within 4 Years?
Take This Test For 50+ To Find Out
Today, February 16, 2006, is my 64th birthday. My chances of making it to age 68 are 96%, according to this questionnaire. Conversely, my chances of dying by February 16, 2010, are 4%. This doesn’t include risks such as being hit by an auto going 85mph, falling out of an airplane, being struck by lightning while standing under a tree during a thunderstorm, being murdered by your spouse etc etc.
I answered the questions and scored 3 points. I’m in very good shape for a fossil of my age. The trick here is not to score high. It won’t help if you lie either. My plans include a lot more than 4 years so I’m glad the test confirms my own prognosis. I gain at least 1 more point when I answer these questions on February 16, 2010. But if I maintain my good health and don’t add points from any of the other categories except age, my 4% mortality probability continues until I attain the age of 75 in 2017. If I make it to 2020 in good health, I can live indefinitely. At least that’s the plan.
Ray Kurzweil, The Singularity, Eternal Life If You Stay Healthy To 2020: No Joke!
http://tabacco.blog-city.com/ray_kurzweil_the_singularity_eternal_life_if_you_stay_health.htm
Published by Tabacco August 15, 2005
http://www.newsday.com/news/health/ny-hsquiz154627729feb15,0,649543.story?coll=ny-health-print
Survey's matter of life, death
Responses to a series of questions can help determine your lifespan within next the 4 years
BY CURTIS L. TAYLOR
STAFF WRITER
February 15, 2006
Twelve questions can help aging baby boomers confront the likelihood of their own mortality within the next four years, researchers say.
The questions start out simply, asking for sex, weight and age. In a survey in which the fewer points accrued the better, you naturally accumulate points with age.
Other questions are quirky. Question No. 12 asks, "Do you have any difficulty with pulling or pushing larger objects like a living room chair?" "Yes" costs you one point.
Being a male (2 points) and a smoker (2 points) increases the total. Existing illnesses such as cancer, lung disease and heart failure, and money management problems, cost 2 points each.
Dr. Sei J. Lee, a geriatrics researcher at the San Francisco Veterans Affairs Medical Center, said the quiz is designed to give doctors and patients older than 50 a simple way to determine "which older folks are going to live and which are going to be dead.
"It is a very natural and human question to want to know, 'what is going to happen to me in the future?'" said Lee, the lead author. "We know when we talk to doctors that they feel uncomfortable giving prognostic information. ... It takes being wrong once."
Researchers said the report, which appears today in the Journal of the American Medical Association, is about 81-percent accurate.
Dr. Aloysius Cuyjet of Nassau University Medical Center, in East Meadow, said the study was a good model. A poor score, he said, did not signal the end, because a patient can forestall the outcome with diet and exercise.
"Sometimes, if patients see a payoff, and the biggest payoff is not dying in four years, then it can help physicians get them to engage in behaviors to reduce their risk," said Cuyjet, a cardiologist. "If they are a smoker, and you see that you can decrease your odds, it can only help."
Still, Cuyjet cautioned that the survey should be taken only with advice from your doctor.
The survey does not directly address factors such as diet. Researchers said that issue is factored into the point scale.
The data used to devise the survey involved 11,701 Americans older than 50 who took part in a national health survey in 1998.
The research analyzed participant outcomes during a four-year follow-up period. It was funded by The National Institute on Aging.
What are your chances of dying in 4 years?
Researchers at the San Francisco Veterans Affairs Medical Center put together a survey measuring risk factors for those 50 and older. Higher risks add points on a scale, which, though not foolproof, gives a rough idea of one's general health.
Risk factors Points
1. Your age. 60-64 1
65-69 2
70-74 3
75-79 4
80-84 5
85 and older: 7
2. You are male. 2
3. Your body-mass index is less than 25. 1
BMI = 703 X Weight in pounds
(Height in inches) squared
Example: If weight 205 pounds, height 5ft-7inches = 67inches,
then BMI = 703 X 205 = 32.1, which is not less than 25 so I get no points here
67X67
Don't ask me why; I don't know why you get a point for being undernourished.
Tabacco got 1 point for being male and 2 points for being 64 - That's it: 3 points.
4. You have had diabetes or high blood sugar. 2
5. You have cancer or a malignant tumor. 2
6. You have chronic lung disease that limits 2
activities or requires oxygen use at home.
7. You have congestive heart failure. 2
8. You smoked cigarettes in the past week. 2
9. You have difficulty bathing or showering 2
because of a health or memory problem.
10. You have difficulty managing money or 2
paying bills because of a health or memory problem.
11. You have difficulty walking several blocks 2
because of a health problem.
12. You have difficulty pushing or pulling large 2
objects, such as a chair, because of health problems.
Now add up your point total.
Your risk of dying
0-5 points: Less than 4%
6-9 points: 15% risk
10-13 points: 42% risk
14+ points: 64% risk
Copyright 2006 Newsday Inc.
T.A.B.A.C.C.O. (Truth About Business And Congressional Crimes Organization)
You Will Die Within 4 Years?
Take This Test For 50+ To Find Out
Today, February 16, 2006, is my 64th birthday. My chances of making it to age 68 are 96%, according to this questionnaire. Conversely, my chances of dying by February 16, 2010, are 4%. This doesn’t include risks such as being hit by an auto going 85mph, falling out of an airplane, being struck by lightning while standing under a tree during a thunderstorm, being murdered by your spouse etc etc.
I answered the questions and scored 3 points. I’m in very good shape for a fossil of my age. The trick here is not to score high. It won’t help if you lie either. My plans include a lot more than 4 years so I’m glad the test confirms my own prognosis. I gain at least 1 more point when I answer these questions on February 16, 2010. But if I maintain my good health and don’t add points from any of the other categories except age, my 4% mortality probability continues until I attain the age of 75 in 2017. If I make it to 2020 in good health, I can live indefinitely. At least that’s the plan.
Ray Kurzweil, The Singularity, Eternal Life If You Stay Healthy To 2020: No Joke!
http://tabacco.blog-city.com/ray_kurzweil_the_singularity_eternal_life_if_you_stay_health.htm
Published by Tabacco August 15, 2005
http://www.newsday.com/news/health/ny-hsquiz154627729feb15,0,649543.story?coll=ny-health-print
Survey's matter of life, death
Responses to a series of questions can help determine your lifespan within next the 4 years
BY CURTIS L. TAYLOR
STAFF WRITER
February 15, 2006
Twelve questions can help aging baby boomers confront the likelihood of their own mortality within the next four years, researchers say.
The questions start out simply, asking for sex, weight and age. In a survey in which the fewer points accrued the better, you naturally accumulate points with age.
Other questions are quirky. Question No. 12 asks, "Do you have any difficulty with pulling or pushing larger objects like a living room chair?" "Yes" costs you one point.
Being a male (2 points) and a smoker (2 points) increases the total. Existing illnesses such as cancer, lung disease and heart failure, and money management problems, cost 2 points each.
Dr. Sei J. Lee, a geriatrics researcher at the San Francisco Veterans Affairs Medical Center, said the quiz is designed to give doctors and patients older than 50 a simple way to determine "which older folks are going to live and which are going to be dead.
"It is a very natural and human question to want to know, 'what is going to happen to me in the future?'" said Lee, the lead author. "We know when we talk to doctors that they feel uncomfortable giving prognostic information. ... It takes being wrong once."
Researchers said the report, which appears today in the Journal of the American Medical Association, is about 81-percent accurate.
Dr. Aloysius Cuyjet of Nassau University Medical Center, in East Meadow, said the study was a good model. A poor score, he said, did not signal the end, because a patient can forestall the outcome with diet and exercise.
"Sometimes, if patients see a payoff, and the biggest payoff is not dying in four years, then it can help physicians get them to engage in behaviors to reduce their risk," said Cuyjet, a cardiologist. "If they are a smoker, and you see that you can decrease your odds, it can only help."
Still, Cuyjet cautioned that the survey should be taken only with advice from your doctor.
The survey does not directly address factors such as diet. Researchers said that issue is factored into the point scale.
The data used to devise the survey involved 11,701 Americans older than 50 who took part in a national health survey in 1998.
The research analyzed participant outcomes during a four-year follow-up period. It was funded by The National Institute on Aging.
What are your chances of dying in 4 years?
Researchers at the San Francisco Veterans Affairs Medical Center put together a survey measuring risk factors for those 50 and older. Higher risks add points on a scale, which, though not foolproof, gives a rough idea of one's general health.
Risk factors Points
1. Your age. 60-64 1
65-69 2
70-74 3
75-79 4
80-84 5
85 and older: 7
2. You are male. 2
3. Your body-mass index is less than 25. 1
BMI = 703 X Weight in pounds
(Height in inches) squared
Example: If weight 205 pounds, height 5ft-7inches = 67inches,
then BMI = 703 X 205 = 32.1, which is not less than 25 so I get no points here
67X67
Don't ask me why; I don't know why you get a point for being undernourished.
Tabacco got 1 point for being male and 2 points for being 64 - That's it: 3 points.
4. You have had diabetes or high blood sugar. 2
5. You have cancer or a malignant tumor. 2
6. You have chronic lung disease that limits 2
activities or requires oxygen use at home.
7. You have congestive heart failure. 2
8. You smoked cigarettes in the past week. 2
9. You have difficulty bathing or showering 2
because of a health or memory problem.
10. You have difficulty managing money or 2
paying bills because of a health or memory problem.
11. You have difficulty walking several blocks 2
because of a health problem.
12. You have difficulty pushing or pulling large 2
objects, such as a chair, because of health problems.
Now add up your point total.
Your risk of dying
0-5 points: Less than 4%
6-9 points: 15% risk
10-13 points: 42% risk
14+ points: 64% risk
Copyright 2006 Newsday Inc.
T.A.B.A.C.C.O. (Truth About Business And Congressional Crimes Organization)
comments